Named Storm Tomas

Tropical Storm Tomas developed near the Windward Islands today. The system is rapidly developing and will become a Hurricane this weekend. This storm will move into the Caribbean Sea and will be near Jamaica as a major hurricane by the middle of this coming week. Many land areas throughout the Caribbean Islands will be affected by this storm.

We will update advisories as needed and there are very early indications that this storm could get into the far western Caribbean or southern Gulf of Mexico in roughly 9 to 13 days.

Note – We are not tracking Named Storm Shary because it will not be affecting any US coastal areas.

For up to the minute official advisories and information, please visit the NHC website in Miami

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”

http://www.wootaah.blogspot.com

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Named Storm Richard Weekend Update

The latest Tropical Storm Richard track modeling has shown a slowing in forward progress. It is now moving west-northwesterly at only 3 to 8 MPH and due to this temporary slowdown, the upper level steering currents will push Richard farther west than earlier modeling was showing. This will allow Richard to be over land late this weekend for a greater amount of time as it weakens and this storm may not emerge into the Gulf of Mexico until late Tuesday October 26 or Wednesday October 27. Since it is moving slowly, the upper level effects in place by the middle of this coming week may allow Richard to curve more easterly with time. However, it is much too early to be able to predict a track much past Thursday, October 28.
We are watching this event unfolding and will post unofficial updates as needed.
For up to the minute official advisories and information, please visit the NHC website in Miami

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”

http://www.wootaah.blogspot.com

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Named Storm Richard – Gulf Coast Residents please note:

Tropical Storm Richard formed out of a tropical depression earlier today south of the Cayman Islands in the Caribbean Sea. This storm is entering an area where intensification is probable. Richard is slowly turning to the west and will approach eastern Mexico and make initial landfall as a Hurricane. It will downgrade to a Tropical Storm as it travels over land and then track north-northwest. It will enter the southern Gulf of Mexico Monday evening October 25, where it will encounter additional favorable conditions that will allow Richard to possibly intensify to Hurricane strength again. The upper level steering currents that will be present in the Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday October 26 will cause this storm to have a generally northerly track. A US Gulf Coast landfall could take place as early as Thursday through Saturday, October 28-30, but that is a very long range estimate based upon our own computer modeling and predicting an intensity level this far out is difficult. It is for that reason that we are advising all persons along Coastal Gulf of Mexico states to monitor the progress of this storm carefully and to have your Hurricane Preparedness plans in place.

We are carefully monitoring this storm and will post unofficial updates here as conditions warrant.

For up to the minute official advisories and information, please visit the NHC website in Miami

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

=============================================

“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”

http://www.wootaah.blogspot.com

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Special Weather Statement for New England Oct. 14-19

Special Weather Statement for New England October 14 through October 19, 2010, for Blog viewers with interests in the region:

Two developing weather systems will merge off the Atlantic Coast of the US over the next 12 to 24 hours and will produce exceptionally high winds, heavy rains, high surf, rip currents, beach erosion and significant flooding in most of coastal New England.

While our weather research center normally does not track this type of storm, this weather event is shaping up to be a true “Nor’easter” and for that reason, we are publishing this unofficial advisory.

For residents of New England, please use the interactive Watch and Warning map in the link below. Just click on your home area on the map for current Watches, Warnings and Official Information.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

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“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”

http://www.wootaah.blogspot.com

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Hurricane Paula

Hurricane Paula formed overnight in the western Caribbean from a cluster of severe thunderstorms associated with regional convection (atmospheric lifting.) This storm was rapid to form, but the upper level winds and steering currents will not allow for immediate intensification. The computer track modeling for Paula is showing an eastern Mexico involvement through Friday, October 15, and a western Cuba involvement for the weekend. The mountainous regions of Mexico will decrease this storm’s intensity over the next three days, however, it will be caught up in an upper level system that will most likely curve it’s track back into the western Caribbean by early next week. We are carefully watching this system for any signs of a track change that could conceivably take it close to the Florida Keys and Miami early next week. We will post unofficial updates as needed.

For up to the minute official advisories and information, please visit the NHC website in Miami

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

=============================================

“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”

http://www.wootaah.blogspot.com

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