Update on Named Storms Karen and Lorenzo – 2019 – September 25, 2019 @ 10 AM EDT.

Named Storm Karen is being steered erratically at the moment, but will start a westerly track toward the Bahamas and possibly the Southeastern US coast sometime Friday, September 27th. Persons along US coastal areas from southern Florida to the North Carolina – Virginia border should be monitoring the progress of Named Storm Karen.

Named Storm Lorenzo has made hurricane status and is projected to become a major category hurricane sometime on Thursday, September 26. The movement of Lorenzo will be essentially north from it’s current location in the mid central Atlantic. At this time, Lorenzo poses no threat to the US.

For official watches and warnings, visit the NHC website:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
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Friday, September 27, 2019: Named Storm Karen ran into upper level shear and essentially dissipated. The remnants of Karen could affect Florida with some moderate rain in a few days, but nothing to be concerned about at this time.

Named Storm Lorenzo – 2019

Named Storm Lorenzo formed near the Cape Verde Islands in the east central Atlantic from a tropical low pressure area that came off the coast of Africa. This storm is moving generally west and will be moving into atmospheric conditions that may allow development to Hurricane strength. This storm will continue it’s west to northwest movement for several days in the central Atlantic, however tracking  models are not precise past September 27th . We will post unofficial updates as needed.

For official watches and warnings, visit the NHC website:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
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Named Storm Karen -2019

Tropical Storm Karen formed near the Windward Islands of the far eastern Caribbean from a tropical low pressure area. This storm will be encountering unfavorable conditions for significant development over the next several days, however, an Atlantic High Pressure area will be steering Karen somewhat northerly for the next few days from it’s current location. Persons in Puerto Rico can expect Tropical Storm force conditions by sometime this Tuesday. Once this storm moves north of Puerto Rico, the steering currents may bring it more northwesterly starting late this coming week. If that slight turn takes place, persons along the Southeast and East Central US could possibly be affected by Named Storm Karen in just over a week, although long range track modeling is imprecise that many days out. We are recommending that persons in coastal areas from Florida to the North Carolina – Virginia border monitor the progress of this storm.

For official watches and warnings, visit the NHC website:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
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Update on Named Storm Jerry -2019 – Sept. 20, 2019

Hurricane Jerry is currently located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. As a result of movement of a central Atlantic High Pressure area moving east, Hurricane Jerry has been steered to the northwest and will move more northerly over the next several days which will keep it out to sea. Persons along the southeastern US will be spared any significant effects from this storm.

We are also watching several other development areas in the Caribbean and central Atlantic and will post information about those potential systems if the National Hurricane Center names them.

For official watches and warnings, visit the NHC website:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama

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Named Storm Imelda – 2019 Additional…

Named Storm Imelda – 2019 Additional…

We are saddened to hear of the death and all the devastating flooding in southeastern Texas from nearly 40 inches of rain in places from Named Storm Imelda.

If you pray, please keep the victims in your prayers. If you are financially able, please donate what you can to your favorite National Help Agency – they can surely use your help to assist victims of this flooding.

Thank you.

Named Storm Jerry – 2019

Named Storm Jerry has formed out of a Tropical Depression about 1000 miles east of the Leeward Islands. This storm is tracking to the west-northwest at 12 to 15 mph. The National Hurricane Center is projecting that “Jerry” will become a Hurricane within the next 48 to 72 hours or so.

This storm has the potential to affect the US Southeastern Coast from south Florida to the North Carolina – Virginia border to some degree. Tracking models are not in complete agreement at this early date and variations in steering currents are difficult to predict at this time.

Persons in Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, the Bahamas, and coastal areas of Florida, Georgia, and the Carolinas should be monitoring the progress of Named Storm Jerry.

For official watches and warnings, visit the NHC website:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama

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Named Storm Imelda – 2019

Tropical Storm Imelda formed just off the east coast of Texas from Tropical Depression Eleven that had been moving westerly across the central Gulf of Mexico for the past several days. This storm was making landfall near Freeport, Texas at just about the same time that it was named by the National Hurricane Center.

Imelda is bringing high rainfall rates to the general area just north of Galveston. Some lowlands flooding. high surf and beach erosion can be expected as this storm moves north to northwest over the next several days.

We are also watching a potential named storm (Tropical Depression Ten) located approximately 1100 miles East Southeast of the Leeward Islands. If this becomes a Named Storm, we will post another unofficial advisory accordingly.

For official watches and warnings, visit the NHC website:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
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Named Storm Humberto -2019

Named Storm Humberto formed in the Bahamas from Tropical Depression Nine. This storm will be moving generally northward well off the east coast of Florida and is projected by the National Hurricane Center to turn to the northeast on Sunday. It will then track into the central Atlantic over the next week or so. Persons along the east coast of Florida can expect high surf,  moderate rain at times and rip currents. Humberto is forecast to become a Hurricane, but since it will most likely be well out to sea at that time, the effects to the southeastern US will be minimal. Persons in Bermuda may see Tropical Storm conditions by mid to late week. If any unanticipated westward movement takes place, we will update our unofficial information accordingly.

For official watches and warnings, visit the NHC website:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
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Add on to Special Weather Statement of September 12, 2019

We are now expanding our ‘unofficial’ statement posted Sept. 12, to include the northern Gulf of Mexico states as well as the East Coast of the US from Florida to the North Carolina – Virginia border, for persons to monitor the progression of “Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine”. Computer modeling from all reporting agencies currently (6:30 AM EDT, Friday, September 13, 2019) is showing substantial differences in projected tracks. This stormy area may become Named Storm Humberto and if it is named, we will start a new post regarding it.

For official watches and warnings, visit the NHC website:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
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Special Weather Statement, September 12, 2019 @ 5 PM EDT

Special Weather Statement, September 12, 2019 (Unofficial).

An area of disturbed weather and thunderstorms is currently located in the southern Bahamas and is moving northwest. The National Hurricane Center will be referring to this area of disturbed weather as Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine, as of 5 PM, September 12, 2019. Due to it’s close proximity to areas of the Bahamas that were severely affected by Hurricane Dorian recently as well as it’s close proximity to the State of Florida, we are recommending that all persons in the Bahamas and Florida monitor this situation carefully. Rapid intensification is possible and this would not leave much time for persons in it’s path to prepare.

For official watches and warnings, visit the NHC website:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

===============================================
“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
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