Tropics are Settling Down

With the exception of the 2nd blow from Hurricane Dean into Mexico, the tropics are fairly quiet. Invest 92L has fizzled for the time being, and the wave off of the coast of Africa has several hurdles to overcome before getting that tropical “ummph”.

There is an area near the Bahamas that would have an outside chance of threatening Florida, but if it was to develop, it would need to do so “rikity tik”. It does not have time to do much more than make some rain before impacting Florida.

Damage and casualty reports are still coming in from Dean, but with his speed and landfall in a relatively unpopulated area, it is looking like it is nowhere near as bad as it could have been. At the time of this writing, no fatalities have been reported. Cancun and Cozmel appeared to have fared very well in this system. The following are a couple of shots as Dean moved in:


Former Major Hurricane Dean is about to be gone. He will crash into Mexico once again. Belize should be okay, they will experience Tropical Storm conditions, and heavy rain. Surge should not be a problem, but flooding and mudslides could become an issue.

Dean has the potential to intensify before the second landfall in Mexico, and could emerge in the Pacific as a tropical system. From a scientific aspect, it would be interesting to see an African storm traverse two oceans.

However, that is pretty much impossible as while the Bay of Campeche will allow some growth of the storm, it is almost out of running room (roughly 375 miles).

El gobierno de Mejico descontinuo el aviso de huracan desde Progresso hasta Campeche.Se mantiene el aviso de huracan desde la costa del golfo de Mejico desde el sur de Campeche hacia el oeste hasta Tampico.El gobierno de Mejico extiende el aviso de tormenta tropical hacia el norte de Tampico hasta bahia de algodones.

In no way am I making light of this system, but for recreation, the surfers should be finding good swells in south Texas. 13 foot waves.