Named Storm Erika – Update 27 August 2015 @ 4:30 PM USA EDT

Based upon our own computer modeling, as well as the information being released by the National Hurricane Center in Florida, we are asking that ALL PERSONS living in or traveling to the Bahamas and Florida closely monitor the progress of this storm. The Bahamas and almost all of the State of Florida are in the “Probability Cone” for the time period late Saturday evening, August 29, to Wednesday, September 02, for the effects of a Hurricane or strong Tropical Storm. The probability cone is the average of all commercial tracking models submitted to the NHC each day. Those models are showing some initial weakening as the storm encounters mountains on Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, but regrouping as it approaches the Bahamas Saturday into Sunday and further strengthening as the storm gets closer to southern Florida early on Monday, August 31. This storm COULD POSSIBLY be rated eventually as a Category 2 Hurricane with winds up to 110 Miles Per Hour near the center IF the mountains do not reduce it’s intensity. There are several variables that the NHC and other groups are attempting to sort out regarding track variations, however, if you will be in The Bahamas or anywhere in Florida over the next week or so, please use the National Hurricane Center link supplied below for OFFICIAL updates as well as monitoring your own local media for government announcements.

Please use the NHC link below for current official advisories:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net/

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.

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