Hurricane Predictions Upgraded

Colorado State upgrades expected hurricane season, Now forecasting 17 named storms; 5 intense hurricanes

Even though the Florida peninsula did suffer the ravages of 3 major landfalling hurricanes during 2004 & 2005 (Charley, Jeanne, Wilma; also, Frances in 2004 [960 mb/ 90-95 kts] was very close to cat-3 intensity at landfall)…….this area of America home to over 10 million residents is still FAR BELOW normal when it comes to major hurricane direct hits since 1965 (only 4 category 3 or higher hurricane landfalls during the 42 year period of record 1966-2007). Historically, the Florida peninsula is struck by a major landfalling hurricane once every four (4) years (climatological period of record 1851-2000).”

For the next few days, it looks as if we will have a slight break in the action, as there are no systems showing any real signs of development at this time.

TS Edouard Intensifying

Tropical Storm Edouard is strengthening from the benefit of reduced shear, making it entirely likely to reach land Tuesday as a Catagory One hurricane. Landfall is still estimated at the TX/LA border, but landfall could be a bit to the east in Lousiana if what may happen been a slight northerly “wobble” is a shift to the north.

Elsewhere, there are no immediate threats to land for the U.S. at this time and no significant development is expected over the next few days.

Tropical Storm Edouard

TS Edouard formed today in the Gulf of Mexico. Most models predict a hit around Tuesday for the Texas coast. Edouard should make landfall as a tropical storm, however, it is not unthinkable that Edouard coult attain hurricane status prior to landfall.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, there are two other areas of disturbed weather that bear watching but significant development is not expected at this time.