2007 Nor’easter

improvise http://holmen.ventures/66672-prednisone-price.html The Lows are converging now. Numerous wind, surf, flood, and marine advisories in effect. This looks to be verifying.

flomax uk For the conditions, consider it to be like a Cat One Hurricane. Fears that that it and the surge will pass over New York City at high tide. Looks to be every bit as dangerous as “The Perfect Storm” or the “Storm of the Century”. Flooding is a real concern for New York, including Long Island. Pressure is at 968 MB and falling.

http://airshow-magazin.de/84343-synthroid-cost-without-insurance.html compile One email I got from a resident in New York said “This is not funny any more, and it’s not even here yet.”

maxalt cost recognize One storm tracking in this system is moving at a whopping 105 miles per hour.

buy cheap Neurontin in iowa overnight Our area remains under a high wind advisory as the actual front moves through today.

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This shot is of one of the Tornadoes on the ground in the Dallas/Ft. Worth area…
Initial reports indicate at least one fatality in the region. The system that potentially generated that casualty would appear to be an EF-2 based on initial reports. Of course, the immediate aftermath of a storm system is wide open to error as first responders evaluate the situation

The show has begun

This image reflects the supercell that moved through the Dallas/Ft. Worth area earlier this evening.

Minor to moderate damage has been reported based on initial estimates. The NWS expects this line of storms to affect those in the Mississippi Valley and Tennessee Valley areas, and should provide a moderate to high risk for severe weather. Some forecasters are pridicting as much as 2″ hail even along the coastal areas.

As mentioned in an earlier entry, the activity poses a significant, if not imminent, threat for severe weather. A station out of Dallas confirmed initial damage but was unable to determine if said damage was from straight line winds or tornadic activity. In a brief moment of levity, I propose that if our houses are damaged/destroyed, we really are not going to care whether it was a funnel or straight line. Seriously, a long tracking Supercell storm will produce both, and often it is important to note and track both events.

Get you NOAA radios and make sure the batteries are good, as this has the potential to be a long night for many of us.

Severe Weather Statement 4/13 – 4/14

There remains the potential for widespread severe weather for the Eastern half of the United States, for today and through the weekend.

Basically, there are three storm systems converging which will create a “Nor’easter”, possible similar to the event detailed in the movie “A Perfect Storm”. The eastern half of the U.S. will be affected, most of the area will be looking at gale force winds, beach erosion, and heavy snowfall. In OUR area, we will be looking at high winds, possibility of long tracking super-cell thunderstorms, hail, and tornados.

At the time of this writing, much of Texas is under a Tornado Watch and High Wind Advisory, with a couple of counties under a Tornado WARNING.

The threat for us should materialize later tonight and throughout the day tomorrow.

Severe Weather Statement 4/13 – 4/14

There remains the potential for widespread severe weather for the Eastern half of the United States, for today and through the weekend.

Basically, there are three storm systems converging which will create a “Nor’easter”, possible similar to the event detailed in the movie “A Perfect Storm”. The eastern half of the U.S. will be affected, most of the area will be looking at gale force winds, beach erosion, and heavy snowfall. In OUR area, we will be looking at high winds, possibility of long tracking super-cell thunderstorms, hail, and tornados.

At the time of this writing, much of Texas is under a Tornado Watch and High Wind Advisory, with a couple of counties under a Tornado WARNING.

The threat for us should materialize later tonight and throughout the day tomorrow.

2007 Hurricane Predictions

Dr. William Gray has released his teams predictions for the 2007 Hurricane Season. The long and short of it is: 17 named storms, with 5 major storms. (A major storm is a hurricane with sustained winds in excess of 111 mph.)

Last year, from NOAA to AccuWeather, the hurricane pre-season forecast was a bust. The reason for this was the El Nino event in the Pacific Basin. That should not be a factor this year, hence Dr. Gray’s estimate that there is a 74% chance of a major hurricane making landfall on the U.S. coast.

For the Gulf Shores area, history shows us that our peak activity and risk for landfall has traditionally been in September.

As you know, the names are rotated, with particularly devasting storms having their name “retired”. For this season the names are:

Andrea
Barry
Chantal
Dean
Erin
Felix
Gabrielle
Humberto
Ingrid
Jerry
Karen
Lorenzo
Melissa
Noel
Olga
Pablo
Rebekah
Sebastien
Tanya
Van
Wendy

14 Dead in Alabama so far

Initial reports put the death toll in Alabama at fourteen with at least 8 deaths at Enterprise High School. Initial projections suggest at least two EF3 tornados and one EF4 tornado roared across the state.

At the time of this writing there are still active tornado warnings and there remains a threat for much of Alabama. Gulf Shores is experiencing perhaps the strongest weather of the dat at this time, 6:07pm, and it should be over for us in about 30 minutes.

The storms in Central Alabama are starting to line up and the tornado threat appears to be diminishing. It will still be dangerous across the state for the next few hours then the front itself will pass and we can put this one in the history books.

On a personal note: My prayers are with the children and their families from Enterprise and with the families across the state that lost loved ones today. So far, 14 dead and that number may yet rise.

In a severe weather event, avoid places like your car, mobile homes, open-style buildings such as gymnasiums, churches, and warehouses, and also do not try to use an overpass as a shelter.

Go to the lowest floor of the building, trying to stay in the center as best as possible.

Storms moving through

Today’s weather event is well underway with multiple warnings issued across the SouthEast. Development is expected to continue throughout the day and into the evening.

The Day One outlook has the entire state of Alabama catagorized as create letrozole uk HIGH RISK for severe weather as evidenced by the graphic. The current storms are well ahead of the front, meaning that the “Big Show” is still several hours away. At the time of this writing, there are 11 Severe Thunderstorm warnings, 7 Tornado Warnings, and 1 Flash Flood warning.
Spotters have identified several funnel clouds and at least two tornados on the ground in Mississippi and Central Alabama. Schools in North Central Alabama are closing, most around noon today. I will continue to monitor this system and update as the main threat approaches.

New Severe Weather Threat

The first supercell has formed near Emporia Kansas, this storm is producing hail, winds in excess of 100mph and radar indicates a possible tornado with this rotating storm.
The storm already has a history of producing tornados.

With our location, the high dewpoints and upper level instability should place us in a TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH zone over night and into the morning hours.
Again, any in the MS, AL, TN, AR areas should have their NOAA radios with them throughout the night and tomorrow.

At the time of this writing, the models are VERIFYING, meaning that this system is likely to be more intense than the one that hit Louisiana over last weekend and Alabama should see a potential severe weather outbreak with widespread severe storms and possible tornados.

This threat will remain over the night hours and during the day on March 1, 2007. The graphic is of the tornado producing supercell thunderstorm in Kansas.

Graphic Representation

The above is a graphic representation of the potential for severe weather.

The Birmingham office of the National Weather Service has released the following statement:

THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAILLOOK LIKELY ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA ON THURSDAY…AND SOMECOULD PRODUCE TORNADOES. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ASEARLY AS 11 AM IN WESTERN ALABAMA AND LAST UNTIL JUST AFTER SUNSET ASSTORMS TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE STATE. THIS SYSTEM HAS THEPOTENTIAL TO BE A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT BUT THERE IS STILLA BIT OF UNCERTAINTY. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE EXACT TIMING AND SEVERITY OFTHIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

Information from the ground in the Gulf Shores area.