Hurricane Forecast. and Oil

Personal Note

As we gear up for this season, with the complications provided by the vast amounts of crude oil spilling into the Gulf, there are signs that cause me personal alarm. None of them have to do with the oil.
SST’s are high, and the Atlantic Jet is not looking good, but persistant high pressure systems near Africa could be to our benefit as presented.
This year presents a year for all of us to be especially watchful.
I will have a formal posting in the next few days.

2010 Tropical Storm Season Data

Good Day, everyone… for those who have been active here at the blog for several years, you already know about the postings that we place here from late May to mid December each year regarding Tropical Storm and Hurricane Tracking. We place unofficial advisories here for the benefit of viewers who may be in harms way along US coastal areas prone to Tropical Storms.

The 2010 Tropical Storm Season will run officially from June 01 to December 01. Our analysts are already refining our software and entering weather data into our analysis programs each day. If a tropical system forms and is NAMED by the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, we will start our unofficial tracking and place specific storm details here in this Forum for the potential safety of our viewers, especially those in southern Baldwin County, Alabama. Our postings will include links to NOAA websites for minute by minute updates and we will also place a disclaimer in each of our posts mentioning that our advisories are not official. A copy of those details is included below in this initial seasonal posting – just for reference.

The EL NINO and LA NINA water temperature variations in the west central Pacific Ocean affect the formation of Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico storms. At this time, the Pacific El Nino is essentially neutral. That usually means that a slight warming of Atlantic waters may take place. Since tropical storms feed off of warm water, that can indicate an increased Atlantic basin storm activity in the early part of the season. We will be watching developing storms carefully and will post here accordingly. We are also facing a situation where Tropical Storms may interact with the Gulf oil spill and that will also be discussed as needed in this blog. Please refer to Acral’s oil spill updates.

Please use the first link below for Tropical System information and the second link below for active watches, warnings and data.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

http://www.weather.gov/largemap.php

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“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”
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Update – Oil Spill

High winds and rough seas continue to hamper efforts at cleaning the spill, which means pur area could very likely see the effects of the spill.

At Friday’s County Meeting in Robertsdale, officials asked a BP representative several questions concerning the dangers posed to those of us who are coastal residents. Among the questions were…
“Will there be dangers from the fumes as the oil reaches the coast?” and “Should coastal residents need to evacuate?” The BP representative had no answers but wrote the questions down promised that a technical advisor would be dispatched as soon as possible.
The associated press reports: “ review The Coast Guard has estimated that about 200,000 gallons of oil are spewing out each day — which would mean 1.6 million gallons of oil have spilled since the April 20 explosion that killed 11 workers. The environmental mess could eclipse the Exxon Valdez disaster, when an oil tanker spilled 11 million gallons off Alaska’s shores in 1989.

where to buy dapoxetine in dubai The slick nearly tripled in just a day or so, growing from a spill the size of Rhode Island to something closer to the size of Puerto Rico, according to images collected from mostly European satellites and analyzed by the University of Miami.”