Tropical information for the Coast, by the Coast,
In terms of the Northern Gulf of Mexico, our early analysis suggests a partial Gulf of Mexico emergence, and then a hard north turn along the western peninsula of Florida.
Currently, we are looking at a minimal impact to the Gulf of Mexico.
However, these conditions can and will change rapidly, so please remain diligent in monitoring your local, state, and federal advisories.
The National Hurricane Center is now showing Dorian as a Category 4 major hurricane at Monday landfall along the eastern coast of Florida.
This is a deadly serious situation and we are asking that all persons in Florida prepare for the worst. IF YOU ARE GIVEN MANDATORY EVACUATION ORDERS, FOLLOW THOSE ORDERS!
For official watches and warnings, visit the NHC website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
https://gulfstorm.net
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
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ADDITIONAL: August 28, 2019 12 noon EDT – Atmospheric instability along it’s track can ultimately change the final landfall location and timing of Dorian. NHC has the landfall cone of probability stretching from Savannah to Miami. They JUST NOW (noon Eastern time) updated their projections for a CAT 3 or higher major Hurricane at Florida/Georgia landfall. Things have slowed a bit, so they are also pushing the actual landfall out to Monday morning, September 02. That could also change again.
For official watches and warnings, visit the NHC website:
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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
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ALERT: Named Storm Dorian has changed it’s northerly track slightly and will be moving through the open waters between Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic over the next 18 hours. This means that there will be little or no interaction with the mountains of Hispaniola to lessen the intensity and the wind shear in the Bahamas that could keep this from intensifying has lessened in the past 12 hours . Most storm modeling agencies are seeing a Cat One or Cat Two Hurricane landfalling initially along the east coast of Florida on Sunday – with a probability cone currently from Savannah, Georgia to Miami, Florida. The storm could possibly cross Florida and enter the Gulf of Mexico where additional strengthening could take place.
All persons in Florida, southern Georgia and coastal areas of the Gulf of Mexico should be monitoring this storm carefully and should be making preparations.
ALSO, Named Storm Erin formed from a tropical depression well off the US southeast coast. Tropical Storm Erin will remain off shore as it starts to track north-northeast and will not be directly affecting the East Coast of the US except for increased high surf and gusty winds. This will be our only mention of Named Storm Erin.
For official watches and warnings, visit the NHC website:
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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
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Several computer models as well as our own are seeing a southeast and east Florida involvement for gusty winds, high surf, rip currents and heavy rain starting Saturday, August 31.
Persons in Florida should be monitoring the progress of this storm carefully.
For official watches and warnings, visit the NHC website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
===============================================
“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
https://gulfstorm.net
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
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Named Storm Dorian formed from a low pressure wave approximately 700 miles east of Barbados in the central Atlantic. This Tropical Storm will move westerly for several days and will strengthen to near Hurricane status as it approaches the Lesser Antilles at the east end of the Caribbean around Tuesday, August 27.
Persons in the Lesser Antilles, Hispaniola and Florida especially should be monitoring the progress of this storm. We will update our unofficial information as needed. Also, a tropical low pressure area already off the Atlantic Coast of Florida will be tracking north-northeast bringing high surf, rip currents and moderate to heavy rainfall to most of Florida and Georgia over the next week. This low pressure area could potentially become named storm Erin.
For official watches and warnings, visit the NHC website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
===============================================
“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
https://gulfstorm.net
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
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Chantal formed in the central Atlantic from a surface low pressure area. This storm is moving toward Europe and will not affect the US. This will be our only mention of Named Storm Chantal.