Month: September 2009

The 2009 Tropical Storm Season in the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico has been one of the calmest seasons, thus far, on record. This is due to several factors including a mild El Nino (warmer than normal) surface water situation in the central and western Pacific which affects storm tracks in the Altantic basin.

We will continue to monitor each development area and post details as needed, once the storms are officially named by the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

Thank you for your support.

Tropical Storm Fred Initial posting Tuesday, September 08, 2009. Tropical Storm Fred is located southwest of the Azores and moving generally westerly at 18 miles per hour. The conditions at this time are favorable for intensification, but in 3 to 5 days, this storm will be entering an area which may lessen it’s intensity and change it’s track. We are carefully watching the progress of this Tropical Storm and will post updates as needed.

For official updates, please refer to:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”

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Tropical Storm Erika formed out of a tropical low pressure wave 450 miles east of the Leeward Islands over the past 9 hours. We have waited until this morning to post our first data about this storm because it is very disorganized and is moving in and out of Tropical Storm status with each overflight of the Hurricane Hunter Aircraft. At this hour, the storm is just northeast of the Leeward Islands as a minimal Tropical Storm. Projections and computer modeling are all over the board on this storm, but the general movement will be to the west-northwest for 3 to 5 days before an upper level system will start to affect it’s track. Persons in the Bahamas and from southeastern Florida to the Carolinas should watch this storm’s progress because it has some potential for strengthening. Our next unofficial update will take place as changing conditions warrant.

For Alabama Gulf Coast Residents: There is only one computer model out of 23 that is showing any southern Gulf of Mexico involvement. This storm has a high probability of being an east coast storm similar to ‘Danny’.

For official updates, please refer to:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”

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