Very Early Atlantic Storm Comment – October 18, 2016 @ 1:00 PM EDT

October 22, 2016:  UPDATE to memo below:   The low pressure area mentioned below has dissipated due to interaction with a cold front that moved off the US East Coast late Thursday.
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Very Early Atlantic Storm Comment – October 18, 2016
 
An area of low pressure is forming and strengthening just northeast of The Bahamas. This area of low pressure will be moving northward and possibly by Thursday, north-northwestward. While it is very early to do any accurate computer modeling, we are suggesting that persons along the Atlantic Coast of the US from coastal Georgia to New England start to monitor this situation for a minimum of high surf along the East Coast.  We will supply unofficial updates if needed.
 
Please use the link below to the National Hurricane Center for official advisories.
 
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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
 
 
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
 
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Named Storm Nicole – 2016

Named Storm Nicole formed in the west central Atlantic over a week ago, at the same time that Hurricane Matthew was flooding part of the US east coast. Named Storm Nicole has been essentially stationary and has been going back and forth between Tropical Storm and Hurricane status, but is now forecast to become a Major Category Hurricane and start movement to the northeast.  While this storm will not be affecting the US coastline, it will be affecting Bermuda as a Major Hurricane within 24 to 36 hours. Persons in Bermuda and all cruise line ships should be aware of this hazardous storm.

Please use the link below to the National Hurricane Center for official advisories.
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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
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Hurricane Matthew 2016 – Recap

Named Storm Matthew has set records throughout it’s long life. Unfortunately, those records are all very bad. The death count is nearing 1000 souls in the Caribbean, Bahamas and the United States. The human tragedy has been great with severe flooding taking an extreme toll on homes and businesses. Flooding in parts of three US states is still on-going and many streets, roads and Interstates are still closed due to trees down and high water. Power is out for approximately 1 million persons in 5 states and this will be slow to be repaired.
 
This was the first Major Category landfalling hurricane in the US in several years and while some persons refused to follow evacuation orders, the majority of persons did travel inland to relative safety. Those who stayed in place in the face of this deadly hurricane were some of the one’s who were killed. Perhaps now, those persons who stayed in the primary devastation areas and survived will think twice in the future and leave. The fact that they did stay in mandatory evacuation areas put first responders lives at risk, That is completely unacceptable.
 
We wish to thank our viewers for following our ‘unofficial’ advisories and updates during this event. This is our final “Named Storm Matthew – 2016” post.
 
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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
 
 
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
 
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Tropical Weather Situation Update 1 PM EDT Tuesday, Oct. 4, 2016

Tropical Weather Situation Update 1 PM Tuesday, October 4:
 
The National Hurricane Center has named a Tropical Storm in the central Atlantic as “Nicole”. This new storm may not be affecting the US in the near future and with the deadly effects of Major Hurricane Matthew currently taking place, we will not expend our resources on this new storm. We are simply mentioning Tropical Storm Nicole one time for now.
 
For all persons in Florida and along the US east Coast, PLEASE monitor your local weather updates in media and listen carefully for any official advisories from your local Emergency Management Office regarding Hurricane Matthew.
 
Please use the link below to the National Hurricane Center for official advisories.
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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
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Hurricane Matthew – Unofficial Update Oct. 3 @ 7PM EDT

Hurricane Matthew –  info.
 
Hurricane Matthew is heading for Jamaica, Southeastern Cuba and Haiti at this hour. Haiti will be receiving the worst of this storm. The people of Haiti have limited resources and are still recovering from the magnatude 7.0 earthquake in 2010. The potential for casualties in Haiti with Hurricane Matthew is very high.
 
Our own computer modeling and analysis of available data is placing the hurricane as a Category 3 or 4 in fairly close proximity to the entire east coast of Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas starting roughly mid day on Thursday and continuing through the weekend. Even the National Hurricane Center tracking projections are imprecise at this time due to a very complex weather system that will be affecting the direction of the hurricane.
 
We are once again calling for EVERYONE along the East Coast of the US to be monitoring the progress of this deadly hurricane in local media and official sources and to have preparedness plans in place.
 
Please use the link below to the National Hurricane Center for official advisories.
================================================== “These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama =============================================