Hurricane Paula formed overnight in the western Caribbean from a cluster of severe thunderstorms associated with regional convection (atmospheric lifting.) This storm was rapid to form, but the upper level winds and steering currents will not allow for immediate intensification. The computer track modeling for Paula is showing an eastern Mexico involvement through Friday, October 15, and a western Cuba involvement for the weekend. The mountainous regions of Mexico will decrease this storm’s intensity over the next three days, however, it will be caught up in an upper level system that will most likely curve it’s track back into the western Caribbean by early next week. We are carefully watching this system for any signs of a track change that could conceivably take it close to the Florida Keys and Miami early next week. We will post unofficial updates as needed.
For up to the minute official advisories and information, please visit the NHC website in Miami
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“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”
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