Author: Tommy Cason

The list of names for the 2024 hurricane season are:

• Alberto
• Beryl
• Chris
• Debby
• Ernesto
• Francine
• Gordon
• Helene
• Isaac
• Joyce
• Kirk
• Leslie
• Milton
• Nadine
• Oscar
• Patty
• Rafael
• Sara
• Tony
• Valerie
• William

There’s a tropical storm brewin’ in the Gulf, y’all!

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) says it’s got a 70% chance of becoming a named storm, and it could make landfall in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.

We don’t know how strong it’ll be yet, but it could bring heavy rain, gusty winds, and coastal flooding. Coastal Alabama isn’t expected to be directly impacted, but it’s still a good idea to stay informed and prepared.

Here’s what you can do:

• Keep an eye on the NHC’s website and social media pages.
• Have a plan in place in case you need to evacuate.
• Bring in any loose outdoor objects.
• Fill up your gas tank and stock up on food and water.

We’ll keep you updated as more information becomes available.

In the meantime, let’s hope this tropical storm doesn’t cause too much trouble.

Day 1 (June 20, 2023): Tropical Storm Bret will continue to move west-northwestward over the central Atlantic Ocean.

Day 2 (June 21, 2023): Tropical Storm Bret will pass near or over the Lesser Antilles.

Day 3 (June 22, 2023): Tropical Storm Bret will continue to move west-northwestward and could become a hurricane.

Day 4 (June 23, 2023): Hurricane Bret will continue to move west-northwestward and could make landfall in the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

Day 5 (June 24, 2023): Hurricane Bret will weaken as it moves over land and could dissipate over the Dominican Republic or Haiti.

Day 6 (June 25, 2023): The remnants of Hurricane Bret will continue to move west-northwestward and could bring heavy rain to Cuba and the Bahamas.

Day 7 (June 26, 2023): The remnants of Hurricane Bret will dissipate over the western Atlantic Ocean.

Please note that this forecast is based on the current data and conditions. If the data or conditions change, the forecast may also change. It is important to stay informed about the latest forecasts and to take appropriate action if Bret makes landfall.

Here are some additional things to keep in mind:

• The storm could bring heavy rain, strong winds, and flooding to the Lesser Antilles, the northeastern Caribbean Sea, Cuba, the Bahamas, and the western Atlantic Ocean.
• The storm could also bring storm surge to the coast, which could cause flooding in low-lying areas.
• It is important to stay informed about the latest forecasts and to take appropriate action if Bret makes landfall.

This post is an experimental product using Artificial Intelligence. The process and prompts are still in development and are subject to errors. This product may contain errors and is provided solely as a testing platform for potential new methodologies to aid in monitoring and presenting data in a concise, user-friendly manner.

TD2 has formed in the Gulf of Mexico and is expected to become Tropical Storm Arlene. Little to no impact on the Gulf Coast is expected at this time.

We are monitoring this system and will provide updates as needed/

First and foremost, the image represented above is a graphic example of a potential situation that could exist in the Gulf of Mexico over the next several days. It is not a forecast graphic or model, it is just an illustration of one of many possible scenarios. Additionally, Gulfstorm.net does not typically post about Tropical Depressions. In this instance, there is a chance for a rare phenomenon called the Fujiwhara Effect to occur in the GoM. The event is named after the Japanese scientist Sakuhei Fujiwhara who discovered the effect in 1921.

In the phenomenon, when two tropical systems get close to each other, they will begin to interact with one another. At a distance of around 900 miles, they will begin orbiting one another, much as the moon orbits the Earth. In that case, they are competing for the same resources, which limits each low pressure system’s ability to significantly strengthen. If one of the storms is “stronger” than the other, and their centers of circulation are around 200 miles from one another, the “stronger” system will absorb the other system, which would most likely result in a RIC (Rapid Intensification Cycle). Simply put the stronger storm would get even stronger.

We will continue to monitor these systems and provide updates as more data comes in.

In terms of the Northern Gulf of Mexico, our early analysis suggests a partial Gulf of Mexico emergence, and then a hard north turn along the western peninsula of Florida.

Currently, we are looking at a minimal impact to the Gulf of Mexico.

However, these conditions can and will change rapidly, so please remain diligent in monitoring your local, state, and federal advisories.

The list of Hurricane names for 2019 is out, and is as follows:

The upcoming season, which starts on June 1, 2019, is expected to be less active than 2018.

Hurricane Michael has become a major hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 120mph.  At the time of this writing, we are an hour away from the next official NHC advisory, however, there are many indications from the current hurricane hunter mission to suggest that Michael could be a Catagory Four hurricane now, or overnight.

In Gulf Shores and nearby areas, the surf is up and the winds are gradually increasing.  Michael is expected to move to the northeast of its current location, however, a more westward landfall from the current track is not out of the question.  Having said that, at this time our staff does not anticipate hurricane conditions in the Gulf Shores/Orange Beach area, but full anticipate sustained tropical storm conditions.  (Winds 35-50mph).

This photo depicts the surf on west beach in Gulf Shores on October 9th, in Gulf Shores.

Previous models have had Alberto to the west of the Gulf Shores/Orange Beach area, which would have meant significant rainfall, coastal flooding, wind concerns, and isolated tornadoes.  Two things have happened.  First, while the center of circulation has started to “wrap” it has drawn in dry air, which impedes development.  Second, Alberto has stayed farther east than initially expected, over lower SST’s (sea surface temperature) and thus, the estimated landfall is between Pensacola and Panama City.

For Gulf Shores, currently, we will be looking at a couple of windy days with patchy strong rain, but currently no real threat other than the very real life-threatening issue of rip currents.