Gustav Has Weakened

The mountainous regions of Haiti have taken their toll on Gustav. Models indicate that Gustav should pass just to the south of Cuba, but the mountains in southwester Cuba could limit Gustav’s strengthening over the next few days.

The models remain divergent with Gustav, with some bringing him towards Mexico. Trending and analysis suggests a potential threat from the Tex/Mex border to the entire coast of Lousiana. Outlier models are still hinting at a strong recurve north and placing portions of the Florida Panhandle at risk.

Remote Data Backups It remains to early to tell. The interaction with Cuba and subsequent emergence into the Gulf of Mexico should give us a better handle on this system.

Historically, this storm, as Pastor Gary and I discussed, is very reminiscent of Hurricane Dennis. Gustav remains a small storm, with a small windfield. The favorable conditions in the Gulf of Mexico could promote explosive development. The storm remains a very serious threat to U.S. interests.

One thought on “Gustav Has Weakened”

  1. Named Storm Gustav Update 04:45 Hrs CDT USA, 27 August 2008.

    The Hurricane has weakened slightly to Tropical Storm force as it encountered the mountainous terrain of Haiti. It will strengthen again in the waters between Jamaica and Cuba and will most likely attain Major Hurricane strength soon. The track projections place this serious storm in the central Gulf of Mexico Sunday into Monday, August 31 to September 01. Intensive development in the Gulf of Mexico is a high probability due to the weather and water conditons present in that area.

    Persons all along the entire US Gulf Coast are being reminded to pay strict attention to this developing storm and to be prepared to secure their residences and heed any directives early next week from local Emergency Operations Centers.

    Use the first link below for Tropical System information and the second link below for active watches, warnings and data.

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

    http://www.weather.gov/largemap.php

    ================================================== =======
    “THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”
    ================================================== =======

Comments are closed.