Named Storm Debby – 2018

In keeping with our policy of at least mentioning all Named storms, “Subtropical Storm Debby”  formed from an Atlantic low pressure area mid ocean.  This ‘storm’ will be moving north and will not be affecting any US coastal areas. The storm will dissipate within the next several days and this will be the only mention of Named Storm Debby.

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.
https://gulfstorm.net

Named Storm Chris – 2018

Named Storm  Chris formed from a depression off the coast of the Carolina’s.  This storm will be moved to the northeast – away from the US east coast – over the next few days and poses no threat to US coastal areas. It may strengthen to Hurricane status but will be heading out into the North Atlantic.

For official information on all named storms, please visit the National Hurricane Center site located here:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama

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NAmed Storm Beryl – 2018

Tropical Storm Beryl formed in the central mid Atlantic from a tropical low pressure area. This storm is located approximately 1200 miles east southeast of the Lesser Antilles and is moving generally west at 15 to 18 MPH. This storm may make Hurricane Category 1 status by late Friday, July 6, or early Saturday, July 7. However, the storm will be encountering upper level shear which will keep it from further development through early next week.

If this storm survives the upper level shear and re-develops in the Caribbean, we will post any updates as needed.

Please use the link below to the National Hurricane Center in Miami, for official information on all named tropical origin storms.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama

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Local Update

Previous models have had Alberto to the west of the Gulf Shores/Orange Beach area, which would have meant significant rainfall, coastal flooding, wind concerns, and isolated tornadoes.  Two things have happened.  First, while the center of circulation has started to “wrap” it has drawn in dry air, which impedes development.  Second, Alberto has stayed farther east than initially expected, over lower SST’s (sea surface temperature) and thus, the estimated landfall is between Pensacola and Panama City.

For Gulf Shores, currently, we will be looking at a couple of windy days with patchy strong rain, but currently no real threat other than the very real life-threatening issue of rip currents.

Coastal Impact – Alberto

Tropical Storm Alberto is moving slowly into the Gulf of Mexico.  Our most recent model runs have Alberto entering the GoM on Saturday and experiencing less shear.  The system could and probably will become more organized over the open waters of the gulf.   We expect Tropical Storm warnings to be issued by Saturday evening, and possibly a Hurricane Watch for our coastal region.

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Named Storm Alberto – 2018

Named Storm Alberto – 2018

Alberto formed in the far western Caribbean from an upper level tropical low pressure area. This storm will be affecting coastal AND inland areas of Florida, Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana over the next few days, as well as inland areas of Georgia, Tennessee and the Carolinas.

This is a slow moving storm system, so critical amounts of rainfall can be expected, producing lowlands flooding. Gusty winds can also be expected, causing tree damage and power outages in places. Some tornadoes may also be triggered by this storm.

Please monitor this situation carefully in local media and NOAA advisories. Use the link below for the NWS interactive map. Click on any area of interest for up to date watches, warnings and advisories. Take care and be safe.

https://www.weather.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama

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Special Weather Statement – Gulf Coast: Florida to Louisiana, May 24 to 30, 2018

Special Weather Advisory for Gulf Coast State residents – southwestern Florida to the Louisiana – Texas border. May 24 through at least May 30.

A wide area of heavy precipitation stemming from a tropical low pressure area, as well as a low pressure area forming near the Texas-Oklahoma border, will be affecting Gulf Coast States from southwestern Florida to the Louisiana – Texas border over the next several days. Rain amounts in some coastal locations could exceed 12 inches with up to 8 inches inland. Please monitor local media as well as your local National Weather Service Office for up to the minute details, advisories, watches and warnings. Use the interactive weather map in the link below by clicking on any area of interest for details. Take care and Be Safe.

https://www.weather.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama

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Atlantic Basin Tropical Storm and Hurricane Preparedness Week 2018

Tropical Storm and Hurricane Preparedness Week, May 6 to 12, 2018.
 
Our Tropical Storm Research Center would like to offer a link to the National Hurricane Center’s Hurricane Preparedness website.
 
The Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico Tropical Storm and Hurricane Season runs from June 01 to November 30 and the information presented in the NHC website listed below could save your life. Take care and be safe.
 
 
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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
 
 
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
 
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Early Projections for the 2018 Tropical Storm Season

The Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico Tropical Storm and Hurricane Season runs officially from June 01 to November 30 each year.

The frequency and intensity of developing storms in these areas is directly tied to the average surface water temperature in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. If a warmer than average water temperature in the Pacific is seen, the effect is called El Nino.  If a cooler than average water temperature in the Pacific is seen, the effect is called “La Nina”.

As of late February, 2018, we are seeing a La Nina pattern and if this continues for a few more months, the 2018 Tropical Storm and Hurricane Season in the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico could  see a marked increase in storm formation.

We are monitoring this condition and will post updates as needed.

For information on all named Tropical Storms or Hurricanes, use the link below to the National Hurricane Center.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/   

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama

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Weather Safety Alert: January 01, 2018 @ 3:30 AM CST

Weather Safety Alert: Interactive Weather Map and Winter Weather Information Links.

Posted January 01, 2018 @ 3:30 AM CST. – TSRC

Due to the very cold temperatures and extreme wind chills affecting almost all of the USA east of the Rocky Mountains, we are supplying a click link below to the National Weather Service Interactive Weather bulletin, advisory and warning map. Click on any location on the map for local or regional conditions, advisories and information.

The second link below is a NOAA information website dealing with winter storms and extreme cold.

Please take all necessary precautions to keep yourselves, your property and your automobiles safe and secure during this time of extreme cold.

Interactive Map: http://www.weather.gov/

Dealing with Winter: https://www.ready.gov/winter-weather

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama (TSRC)

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