Author: Pastor Gary

Named Storm Cindy developed from Tropical Depression # 4 that has been generally following Named Storm Bret in the east central Atlantic. Named Storm Cindy is projected to track northwestward, just north of the Caribbean Islands, and then make a more northerly turn, which may affect Bermuda by mid to late week. This storm will be encountering unfavorable conditions for development and may be downgraded back to a Tropical Depression in a few days. We are monitoring this storm and will post unofficial updates as needed.

Please visit the National Hurricane Center website for official news and advisories.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

============================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Southern, Alabama.
============================================

Tropical Storm Bret formed in the east central Atlantic from a Tropical Depression. It is currently in the east central Atlantic and is moving westward at approximately 21 MPH. This storm is moving through an area that is fairly conducive for development and may make Hurricane status within2 or 3 days as it enters the eastern Caribbean Sea. The tracking models for Named Storm Bret are not yet in agreement, but we are watching this developing situation and will post unofficial updates as needed. Persons from South Florida to the Central Atlantic Coast should be monitoring this storm.

Please visit the National Hurricane Center website for official news and advisories.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

============================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

Tropical Storm Research Center, Southern, Alabama.
============================================

Named Storm Arlene formed in the East Central Gulf of Mexico from a tropical depression. The storm may be short lived because of upper level wind shear that will most likely dissipate the storm over the next few days as it moves south toward western Cuba.

Persons along the Gulf Coast of Florida may see occasional rain and gusty winds as well as some higher wave action. We will monitor this system, but this will probably be our only mention of Tropical Storm Arlene.

Please visit the National Hurricane Center website for official news and advisories.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

============================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

www.gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Southern, Alabama.

============================================

Each year, the National Hurricane Center in Miami sponsors “Preparedness Week” for information and helpful hints regarding the upcoming Season starting officially on June 01.

Please use the link below to view this year’s presentation. Thank you.

https://www.noaa.gov/hurricane-prep

Our TSRC volunteer staff is already monitoring conditions in the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico and we will post ‘unofficial’ storm details as needed.

During the off season for Tropical activity, please use the link below for an interactive INLAND weather map containing watches, warnings and advisories. Click on any map location for the latest information from NWS.

https://www.weather.gov/

Please watch for pre-season preparedness information here at TSRC in May, 2023.

The National Weather Service has started posting severe weather and tornado Watches and Warnings in the Southern US as of 5AM EST, December 13.
A frontal boundary is moving east from Central Texas and Oklahoma and is producing areas of unsettled weather.  Tornadoes and Severe Thunderstorms are being reported and this area of severe weather will be moving east through late Thursday or early Friday across the Southern US.  Over the next few days, these Watches and Warnings may include areas of Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Alabama, Georgia, Northwest Florida, Tennessee, Kentucky, South Carolina and North Carolina. Persons in these areas should be monitoring the progress of these storms and be prepared to go to their Safe Areas if local Weather Warnings are issued. Please use the interactive map link below for up to the minute details on these storms. Take care and Be Safe.

https://www.weather.gov/

============================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

www.gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Southern, Alabama.
============================================

The Season does not officially end until November 30, however, with conditions in the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico unfavorable for Tropical Storm formation, we are fairly confident that no additional significant storm activity will be taking place.

The 2022 Season had less activity than many forecasters had predicted, but our own projections from late April 2022 were very close to the actual number of named storms.

While the majority of the 2022 storms stayed out in the Atlantic, several made landfall in the Caribbean Islands, Cuba, the Bahamas as well as in Central America and Mexico. Hurricane Ian, a high Category 4 storm, made landfall in Lee County Florida on September 28, continuing across central Florida, taking over 100 lives and causing billions of dollars in damage. Then on November 10, Hurricane Nicole, a Category 1 storm, made landfall near Vero Beach, Florida and went east to west across the same areas that had been affected by ‘Ian’ causing more flooding and damage.

While current conditions are unfavorable for storm development, our TSRC volunteers will be monitoring until early December.

Please refer to the link below for an interactive map provided by the National Weather Service for details, watches and warnings regarding INLAND storms and weather concerns.

https://www.weather.gov/

============================

From the volunteer staff at the Tropical Storm Research Center in Southern Alabama, take care and be safe.

https://gulfstorm.net/

============================

Named Storm Nicole is expected to strengthen to near or at Hurricane Category 1 strength before landfall along the East Coast of Florida. The exact landfall location is not too important with this storm because Tropical Storm Force winds extend across a 460 mile diameter. Storm Surge warnings are in effect ahead of this storm extending from North Palm Beach Florida to north of the Florida/Georgia border. A 3 to 5 foot storm surge can be expected in this area with a total water rise including tidal rise of 4 to 6 feet. This is a life threatening water rise with significant wave action above the surge level. Persons in this warning area may see mandatory evacuation orders from Local Emergency Government Authorities. The east coast of Florida, coastal Georgia and southeastern South Carolina will also see significant rip currents, beach erosion and lowlands flooding. Rain amounts along the track of this storm could be in the range of 4 to 6 inches with more possible in some locations.

Persons in the entire State of Florida, especially from Miami to Jacksonville, the southern half of Georgia and the Carolina’s should be carefully monitoring the progress of Named Storm Nicole.

Please visit the National Hurricane Center website for official news and advisories.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

============================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

www.gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Southern, Alabama.

============================================

Named Storm Nicole formed from a tropical low pressure system north of Puerto Rico. This storm will be moving west – northwest for a day or so and then westerly, affecting southeastern Florida as a high category Tropical Storm or low category Hurricane.
Landfall will most likely be in the overnight hours of Wednesday, November 9 to Thursday, November 10. Persons in the entire State of Florida, especially from Homestead to Titusville, the southern half of Georgia and the Carolina’s should be monitoring the progress of Named Storm Nicole.

Please visit the National Hurricane Center website for official news and advisories.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

============================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

www.gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Southern, Alabama.

============================================

Named Storm Martin -2022 developed near Bermuda from a sub tropical low pressure area. It is moving generally northeast, away from the US East Coast. Since there will be no US involvement, this will be our only mention of Named Storm Martin – 2022.

Please visit the National Hurricane Center website for official news and advisories.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

============================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

www.gulfstorm.net

Tropical Storm Research Center, Southern, Alabama.

============================================