Author: Pastor Gary

Tropical Storm Grace formed south of the Cape Verde Islands off the west central coast of Africa today, September 5. This storm will be taking a westerly track at approximately 11 to 15 miles per hour and will be near the Windward and Leeward Islands on Friday, September 11. This storm will be encountering upper level wind shear as well as dry air to it’s north for the next week or so. However, IF it survives the shear and dry air and gets into the very warm waters of the eastern Caribbean, some development could take place. We will update this unofficial advisory as needed.

Please use the NHC link below for current official advisories:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

==================================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net/

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.

===================================================

Tropical Storm Fred  developed over the past 8 hours just off the western coast of Africa.  This storm will be moving north-northwest  for several days and will be encountering wind shear and dryer air to it’s north that will not allow rapid development.   However, in a few days that unfavorable environment may change.  We are monitoring this storm system and will post unofficial updates as needed.

Please use the NHC link below for current official advisories:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

==================================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net/

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.

===================================================

*** FINAL Named Storm Erika Advisory ***

Approximately an hour after our previous posting, Tropical Storm Erika encountered some strong mid level wind shear over Cuba and literally fell apart. All official watches and advisories have been cancelled by the National Hurricane Center.

Out of the abundance of caution, we have provided information based upon all available data because our goal is to keep YOU safe in the face of these storms. We thank you for following our unofficial advisories. If you wish to evaluate this and any other recent storms, please visit the link below and click on “Data Archive” from the left menu.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

You can also visit our TSRC website in the link contained in our data below to visit recaps of storms listed in the left margin spanning nearly a decade.

=========================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net/

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.

Tropical Storm Erika – Update – 6 AM USA EDT, 29 August 2015 –

Tropical Storm Erika has interacted with some of the mountains of The Dominican Republic but not all. The storm has gone through several central low pressure core replacement cycles, which has moved the storm a bit farther to the west and therefore, has pushed the projected track of this storm farther west as well. The CURRENT 6 AM USA EDT 29 August 2015 projections are for the storm to pass over central Cuba early Sunday, August 30, and enter the very warm waters of the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Warm water is the ‘fuel’ for Tropical Storms and strengthening is a good possibility. All persons who live in Florida, Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana should be monitoring the progress of this storm by local media broadcasts and the official advisories coming from the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

Please use the NHC link below for current official advisories:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
==================================================
“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
https://gulfstorm.net/
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.
===================================================

Based upon our own computer modeling, as well as the information being released by the National Hurricane Center in Florida, we are asking that ALL PERSONS living in or traveling to the Bahamas and Florida closely monitor the progress of this storm. The Bahamas and almost all of the State of Florida are in the “Probability Cone” for the time period late Saturday evening, August 29, to Wednesday, September 02, for the effects of a Hurricane or strong Tropical Storm. The probability cone is the average of all commercial tracking models submitted to the NHC each day. Those models are showing some initial weakening as the storm encounters mountains on Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, but regrouping as it approaches the Bahamas Saturday into Sunday and further strengthening as the storm gets closer to southern Florida early on Monday, August 31. This storm COULD POSSIBLY be rated eventually as a Category 2 Hurricane with winds up to 110 Miles Per Hour near the center IF the mountains do not reduce it’s intensity. There are several variables that the NHC and other groups are attempting to sort out regarding track variations, however, if you will be in The Bahamas or anywhere in Florida over the next week or so, please use the National Hurricane Center link supplied below for OFFICIAL updates as well as monitoring your own local media for government announcements.

Please use the NHC link below for current official advisories:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

==================================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net/

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.

===================================================

Tropical Storm Erika formed in the central Atlantic from a Tropical Depression overnight. The storm is moving generally  west northwest at 20 MPH and is currently 830  miles east of the Windward Islands.  Very early tracking models are showing a fair chance of strengthening as this storm passes near Puerto Rico on Friday into Saturday. Persons in the Bahamas and Florida should start monitoring the progress of this storm.  We are evaluating this storm hourly as well as the remnants of Named Storm Danny that is now just a  dissipated low pressure area near Puerto Rico.  Updates will be posted as necessary.

Please use the NHC link below for current official advisories:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

==================================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net/

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.

===================================================

Tropical Storm Danny formed from a Tropical Depression in the central Atlantic.  This storm is currently in an area for favorable development and will reach hurricane force in a short time.  Computer modeling is showing this storm approaching the Windward Islands near the Island of Barbados by Monday, August 24.   We will carefully monitor this system and update as necessary, but all persons in the southern and southeastern US should at least be aware of this developing storm and check on it’s progress frequently.

Please use the NHC link below for official advisories:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

==================================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net/

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.

===================================================

In keeping with our policy to at least mention each Atlantic origin storm that is named by the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Storm ‘Claudette’ was of a very short duration and in a location that would not affect any US coastal areas, therefore, it  was not mentioned initially.

We are currently watching an area of low pressure off the Carolinas and if this system gets organized, we will report as needed.

======================================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net/

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.

===================================================

A low pressure area in the far Southern Gulf of Mexico will be tracking into southeastern Texas over the next 36 hours. This system will produce heavy rains, wind, some coastal lowlands flooding and possible tornadoes.  The system is not officially named but is referred to by the National Hurricane Center as Invest 91-L.   As the system moves northerly across eastern Texas, many of the same areas that were flooded in recent weeks will see more of the same.  This also holds true for western Louisiana. Persons in these areas of Texas and Louisiana should monitor details on this system through local media as well as visiting the NHC website in the link below.

Please use the NHC link below for official advisories:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

==================================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net/

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.

===================================================