Category: Discussion

Tropical Storm Erika formed in the central Atlantic from a Tropical Depression overnight. The storm is moving generally  west northwest at 20 MPH and is currently 830  miles east of the Windward Islands.  Very early tracking models are showing a fair chance of strengthening as this storm passes near Puerto Rico on Friday into Saturday. Persons in the Bahamas and Florida should start monitoring the progress of this storm.  We are evaluating this storm hourly as well as the remnants of Named Storm Danny that is now just a  dissipated low pressure area near Puerto Rico.  Updates will be posted as necessary.

Please use the NHC link below for current official advisories:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net/

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.

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Tropical Storm Danny formed from a Tropical Depression in the central Atlantic.  This storm is currently in an area for favorable development and will reach hurricane force in a short time.  Computer modeling is showing this storm approaching the Windward Islands near the Island of Barbados by Monday, August 24.   We will carefully monitor this system and update as necessary, but all persons in the southern and southeastern US should at least be aware of this developing storm and check on it’s progress frequently.

Please use the NHC link below for official advisories:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net/

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.

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In keeping with our policy to at least mention each Atlantic origin storm that is named by the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Storm ‘Claudette’ was of a very short duration and in a location that would not affect any US coastal areas, therefore, it  was not mentioned initially.

We are currently watching an area of low pressure off the Carolinas and if this system gets organized, we will report as needed.

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net/

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.

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A low pressure area in the far Southern Gulf of Mexico will be tracking into southeastern Texas over the next 36 hours. This system will produce heavy rains, wind, some coastal lowlands flooding and possible tornadoes.  The system is not officially named but is referred to by the National Hurricane Center as Invest 91-L.   As the system moves northerly across eastern Texas, many of the same areas that were flooded in recent weeks will see more of the same.  This also holds true for western Louisiana. Persons in these areas of Texas and Louisiana should monitor details on this system through local media as well as visiting the NHC website in the link below.

Please use the NHC link below for official advisories:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

==================================================

“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net/

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.

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Sub-Tropical Storm Ana – First named storm of 2015

Sub-Tropical Storm Ana formed off the coast of South Carolina late Thursday. This storm does not show Tropical characteristics, but has an off shore closed core with central winds just over 55 MPH. Ana will very slowly drift to the north making landfall near Litchfield Beach, South Carolina early Sunday morning. The storm will track inland through North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware and into New England, following the coast as a weakened low pressure area into mid week. Persons along the US Atlantic coast from South Carolina to Maine can expect high surf, rip currents, heavy rain, gusty wind and some lowland flooding through late Tuesday, May 12. There is no chance that this storm will strengthen to Hurricane strength, so this will be our only unofficial report on Sub Tropical Storm Ana.

Please use the NHC link below for official advisories:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net/

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.

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Please use the link below for storm preparedness information:

Link to Preparedness Website:   http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/prepare/

An area of low pressure off the eastern seaboard near Georgia and the Carolinas is on the verge of becoming the seasons first named storm.  While acquiring more tropical characteristics before landfall most likely in the Carolinas, if Ana forms, she is not expected to reach hurricane status at this time.   Those along the eastern Seaboard should monitor the situation and could expect to see tropical storm conditions in the next few days.  This system will not affect our primary area, the Northern Coast of the Gulf of Mexico.

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Please review seasonal preparedness information one post down.

The official Tropical Storm and Hurricane Season runs from June 01 through November 30 each year. The Tropical Storm Research Center volunteer staff has analyzed, tracked, evaluated and posted ‘unofficial’ advisories and updates on all named Tropical Storms and Hurricanes since 2006. Our record regarding storm tracks, landfall intensities and locations has been a bit more accurate than some official reporting agencies.

With the 2015 Tropical Storm and Hurricane Season at hand, we have already been evaluating potential storm development in the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico for several weeks. Our computer modeling software is running and we are ready to help you keep yourself and your family advised, unofficially, in the face of these devastating storms. We hope that you will use the link that we are providing below to the National Hurricane Center “Preparedness Week” website. We strongly suggest that everyone who lives along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts of the US review the information presented in this NOAA site. Preparedness Week 2015 runs from May 24 to May 30.

Link to Preparedness Website:   http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/prepare/

The Tropical Storm Research Center volunteer staff is on the job and watching. We will post information on all named storms and thank you for following us here at gulfstorm.net . Please watch for reports and analysis of any pre-season activity.   Take care and Be Safe.

In anticipation of the 2015 Tropical Storm and Hurricane season, starting June 01, we would like to share a NOAA research site for our viewers, so the tracks, landfalls and devastation records of previous significant storms can be gone over as a reminder as to exactly what these storms are capable of:

Link >>>  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/outreach/history/