Author: Pastor Gary

Volunteer senior Tropical Storm analyst with TSRC /// Semi Retired Christian Pastor, serving Alabama, Michigan, Tennessee, Mississippi, Georgia, Wisconsin and Florida seasonally /// Chaplain Responder, into storm devastation areas.
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Tropical Depression Nine affecting Florida – 2016

Tropical Depression Nine is currently west of Key West, Florida.

At this hour, this storm that is starting to affect Florida, has still not yet been named. It is currently “Tropical Depression Nine”.  Storm Hunter aircraft and coastal radar will monitor the storm center for organization and it may possibly become a Tropical Storm today.

Out of an abundance of caution, we are mentioning that as the jet stream picks up the storm later today, the northwest to southeast mid level winds will interact with the generally south to north winds around the right front quadrant of the storm itself. This “shear” may cause horizontal rotation within thunderstorms and when the storms lift vertically, the horizontal rotation becomes vertical rotation and forms tornadoes.

The area in Florida that may see the greatest risk of heavy rain, gusty wind and tornado formation would be from Panama City to Marco Island to the west and from the coastal Florida / Georgia line down to around Port St. Lucie to the east. All persons in Florida and southeastern Georgia should be monitoring this storm.

Please use the link below to the National Hurricane Center for official advisories.
 
 
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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
 
 
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
 
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Tropical Low Pressure (Invest 99-L) may be a concern:

Tropical Low Pressure area ( Invest 99-L ) may be a concern:
 
A Tropical Low, (not named as of this posting) is making it’s way through the Lesser Antilles and will start moving toward Bermuda in a day or so. This storm system, while not completely organized as yet, has significant potential and may affect south Florida this weekend and could possibly move into the Gulf of Mexico in 4 to 7 days.
 
ALL PERSONS in Florida, coastal Georgia and states bordering the Gulf of Mexico should be monitoring this developing situation.
 
Please use the link below to the National Hurricane Center for official advisories.
 
 
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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
 
 
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama
 
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Named Storm Gaston – 2016

Tropical Storm Gaston formed in the  Atlantic from Tropical Depression Number 7. This storm is moving west northwest at just under 20 MPH and is located in the  Atlantic roughly 500 miles WSW of the Cape Verde Islands. The current movement of this storm is in the general direction of Bermuda. Further development is expected and this Tropical Storm may be upgraded to Hurricane status within 48 hours.  We will update Storm Information  if this storm poses any threat to coastal US, however, a turn to the north this coming weekend, because of an interaction with another Atlantic weather feature, may keep this storm at sea .  In the mean time, please use the link below to the National Hurricane Center for official advisories.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/,

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
 
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.
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Named Storm Fiona – 2016

Tropical Storm Fiona formed in the  Atlantic from Tropical Depression Number 6. This storm is moving northwest at 15 MPH and is located in the Mid Atlantic roughly half way between the west African Coast and Puerto Rico. The current movement of this storm is in the general direction of Bermuda, but several upper level conditions will be affecting this storm over the next 5 to 7 days which may slow development.  We will update Storm Information  if this storm poses a threat to coastal US.  In the mean time, please use the link below to the National Hurricane Center for official advisories.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
 
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.
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Named Storm Earl – 2016

Tropical Storm Earl formed in the mid Caribbean from a tropical wave.  This storm is moving westerly and has the potential to strengthen over the next few days.  Persons along the Gulf Coast of the US and especially east central Mexico and southeastern Texas, should monitor the progress of this storm.  We will update this early unofficial advisory as needed.  Please use the link below to the National Hurricane center in Miami for official updates and advisories:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
 
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.
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Tropical Storm Danielle -2016

Tropical Storm Danielle formed from an area of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and is now over the southeastern coast of Mexico. This storm will not be directly affecting the United States, therefore, this will be our only mention of Tropical Storm Danielle.

Please use the NWS website for official updates and advisories concerning this storm.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
 
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.
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Tropical Depression 3 / Tropical Storm Colin 2016

Gulf of Mexico Storm Update, June 5, 2016 @ 12:00 Hrs CDT –
 
The storm area in the southern Gulf is now officially a Tropical Depression – and will most likely become Tropical Storm Colin before Florida Gulf Coast landfall. All persons from the Panhandle of Florida to Marco Island as well as inland areas of northern Florida and southern Georgia should be watching official media advisories. Projected initial landfall will be close to Apalachicola, and St. George Island, Florida, late afternoon Monday, June 6. However, all locations mentioned above will see gusty winds, high surf, torrential rain, beach erosion, rip currents, lowland flooding and the possibility of some tornadoes. The storm will track across northern Florida and southern Georgia overnight Monday, June 6 to Tuesday, June 7 and will continue across South Carolina coastal areas into Wednesday, June 8.
 
Please use the NHC link below for current official advisories:
 
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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”
 
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.
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Named Storm Bonnie – 2016

Tropical Depression # 2 formed north of the Bahamas from a Tropical  low pressure area.  This storm has strengthened to become named storm ‘Bonnie’ .  The storm is moving northeast and will be affecting coastal areas from near Brunswick, Georgia, to northeast of the North Carolina – South Carolina border this weekend.  Persons in the affected area can expect heavy rain, gusty winds, some lowland flooding, rip currents, high surf and some beach erosion.  Please refer to the National Hurricane Center and local media for official updates and advisories.

Please use the NHC link below for current official advisories:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“These are not official advisories. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here.”

https://gulfstorm.net/

Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.

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2016 Tropical Storm and Hurricane Season Preparedness

The official Tropical Storm and Hurricane Season runs from June 01 through November 30 each year. The Tropical Storm Research Center volunteer staff has analyzed, tracked, evaluated and posted ‘unofficial’ advisories and updates on all named Tropical Storms and Hurricanes since 2006. Our record regarding storm tracks, landfall intensities and locations has been a bit more accurate than some official reporting agencies.

With the start of the 2016 Tropical Storm and Hurricane Season nearing, we have already been evaluating potential storm development in the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico for several weeks. Our computer modeling software is running and we are ready to help you keep yourself and your family advised, unofficially, in the face of these devastating storms. We hope that you will use the link that we are providing below to the National Hurricane Center “Preparedness Week” website. We strongly suggest that everyone who lives along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts of the US review the information presented in this NOAA site. Preparedness Week 2016 runs from May 15 to May 21.

Link to Preparedness Website:   http://www.nws.noaa.gov/com/weatherreadynation/hurricane_preparedness.html

The Tropical Storm Research Center volunteer staff is on the job and watching. We will post information on all named storms and thank you for following us here at gulfstorm.net . Please watch for reports and analysis of any pre-season activity.   Take care and Be Safe.

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Off Season Information and Resources

As the Tropical Storm and Hurricane season ends each year, the staff at the Tropical Storm Research Center doesn’t take any time off. We update our tracking software, monitor Jet Stream movements, go over data points from the previous season and monitor inland winter storm issues that can contribute to trends in the next Tropical Storm and Hurricane season.  As we monitor inland issues in our off season, we will occasionally publish regional weather concerns in our website blog area. Our blog can be found through the blog button, top right on the main screen where you will find a link to an interactive weather map. Click on any area of interest for a recap of conditions as provided by the National Weather Service.

We will be back in mid May 2016 with pre-season preparedness information. Until then, please check in with us occasionally for any news or seasonal updates.  Thank you for following us here at www.gulfstorm,net .

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