Category: Uncategorized

Tropical Storm Igor formed immediately upon coming off the African Coast just south of the Cape Verde Islands. This storm has potential to become a hurricane by late Friday, September 10 or early Saturday, September 11. Tracking of this storm is on-going and early computer modeling is showing a track similar to that of Gaston. However, the conditions in that area of the Atlantic are a bit more favorable this week for intensification.

We will post additional “Igor” updates as conditions warrant.

For up to the minute official advisories and information, please visit the NHC website in Miami

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”

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Tropical Storm Hermine formed out of a tropical low pressure area off the southeastern coast of Mexico over the weekend. This tropical storm will move into the Texas/Mexico border area over the next 24 hours with significant thunderstorm activity, some coastal and lowlands flooding in southeastern Texas, and substantial rains. Maximum sustained winds in this storm are nearing 50 MPH at this hour but are not forecast to intensify to hurricane strength. Persons with interests in southeastern Texas should monitor travel weather in the vicinity.

This will be our only Tropical Storm Hermine posting.

We are also watching for the reformation of named storm Gaston, nearing the Leeward Islands. Once this storm reaches Tropical Storm intensity once again, we will continue with updates in the Named Storm Gaston area.

For up to the minute official advisories and information, please visit the NHC website in Miami

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”

www.wootaah.blogspot.com

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HURRICANE EARL is a major hurricane with central winds at 127 MPH with gusting to nearly 145 MPH in the northeast quadrant.

We are posting this advisory for those persons who live along the east coast of the US from northeastern Georgia to Maine as well as the Maritime Provinces of Canada or who have interests in the area.

The projected storm track will allow Earl to travel up the east coast of the United States as a Major Hurricane. Hurricane wind conditions can be expected along the east coast of the US starting later in the day, Thursday, September 02 through Sunday, September 05. Persons all along the east coast of the US should monitor local NOAA-NWS alerts, watches, warnings and advisories as well as monitoring local Emergency Operations Center press and media releases. This will be a long term storm affecting most of the east coast of the US.

This Hurricane will cause high winds, torrential rains with localized flooding, high wave action with coastal beach erosion, some storm surge with additional lowlands flooding, frequent lightning, severe rip currents along beaches and some tornadoes.

The storm tracking projections are showing a slightly closer path to the US coast in the latest modeling, but this can change daily as upper level steering currents affect the Hurricane.

Persons should be making plans for possible coastal lowlands evacuations in places as mandated by State and Local officials.

For up to the minute official advisories and information, please visit the NHC website in Miami

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”

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Major Hurricane Earl has already surpassed Danielle when she was at her strongest. Earl is undergoing a Rapid Intensification Cycle and should be a strong Catagory Four hurricane this evening. Meanwhile, Danielle continues to weaken and invest 97L has become Tropical Storm Fiona, currently following on Earl’s heels.

With the current models, the entire Eastern US seaboard from Savannah through New England lie withing the impact cone of Earl. Models have trended slightly west before showing a re-curve to the north. Depending on how far west Earl travels, the greater the likelihood for impact on the East Coast of the US.

Hurricane Earl Update Sunday, August 29, 2010 – 11:00 Hrs CDT

Earl was classified as a Category 1 Hurricane earlier today. Persons in the Leeward Islands, Hisapaniola and Puerto Rico are under Hurricane watches and warnings for major Hurricane involvement (Category 3 or higher). The storm track is still developing due to interaction with both low level and upper level winds, but most computer modeling is showing a track to the west of Bermuda and then northerly with some US east coastal issues from northeastern Georgia to New England from late Thursday September 02 through next weekend.

Persons from south Florida to New England should be monitoring the development of this significant storm event.

For up to the minute official advisories and information, please visit the NHC website in Miami

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”

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Tropical Storm Earl formed southwest of the Cape Verde Islands from a Tropical Depression today. This storm will follow in the ‘footsteps’ of Hurricane Danielle, but in 3 to 4 days, it will be acted upon by upper level steering currents and will push the storm much farther west and possibly into the Caribbean Sea near Puerto Rico early next week. Our computer modeling for ‘Earl’ is showing a possible southeastern US involvement into the middle of next week and weekend, but it is very early in the process for accurate tracking. Our modeling will be refined each day and we will post unofficial details as conditions warrant. We are also tracking an intense Tropical Wave that just came off the west African coast and this low pressure area may become named storm ‘Fiona’ within the next 36 hours.

Note: IF the anticipated track of Hurricane Danielle moves any farther to the west threatening New England, we will update that posting thread accordingly. As of this posting, Danielle is moving as predicted.

For up to the minute official advisories and information, please visit the NHC website in Miami

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

=============================================

“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”

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For persons with vacation plans in Bermuda or who have interests along the east coast of the US:

Tropical Storm Danielle formed out of Tropical Depression # 6 just southwest of the Cape Verde Islands in the east central Atlantic early Monday, August 23. Conditions in the central Atlantic are favorable for intensification and this Tropical Storm will become a Hurricane within 12 to 18 hours. Due to upper level flow, this storm will be taken in a northwesterly direction for several days and then a more northerly path to the east of Bermuda and into the north central Atlantic. Most of our computer modeling is not showing a US east coast involvement, however, the timing of the next frontal area exiting the east coast could possibly alter the track of this storm a bit to the west. Our modeling is taking this possibility into consideration and we are watching this closely.

Our next unofficial update concerning named storm Danielle will be posted as conditions warrant.

For up to the minute official advisories and information, please visit the NHC website in Miami

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

=============================================

“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”

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Please Review the Comment update Below –

Our Research Center has noted that the conditions in the south central and east central Atlantic are becoming favorable for Tropical Cyclone formation. We are watching areas of Tropical Waves southwest of the Cape Verde Islands as well as southwest of the Azores which may be upgraded to Tropical Depressions or Tropical Storms within the next 3 to 7 days.

Please watch for updates here in the blog because a slightly higher risk of storm formation is now in place.

The National Hurricane Center cancled the Hurricane Hunter flight this afternoon and reports that TD 5 has dissapated. There will be no further advisories concerning this system.

Historical Reference:

Tropical Depression 5 has formed from a low pressure system in the Gulf of Mexico. Sea Surface Temperatures (SST’s) are extremely conducive for strengthening, however, potential Danielle has two hurdles to overcome: a short time over water before landfall, and dry air entering the system. These factors should inhibit TD5 from intensifying much beyond Tropical Storm strength.

There is a possibility that TD5 could stall prior to landfall, which would give it more opportunity to gain strength. A tropical storm WARNING has been issued for the northern Gulf Coast. Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Perdido Key, and surrounding areas can expect to see Tropical Storm conditions as early as tomorrow night. Coastal areas and low lying areas should be on the lookout for flooding. TD5 will also carry a risk of tornadoes and severe storms as the bands encounter instability in the upper atmosphere as TD5 comes ashore.