The NWS and NOAA are predicting a greater than 50% chance of an El Nino effect, which means warmer water temperatures in the Pacific Ocean and cooler than normal water temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean. During El Nino, we typically have fewer tropical systems in the Atlantic and in the Gulf of Mexico. In 1992, there was an El Nino event, and only 7 storms formed, however, one of those seven was Hurricane Andrew.