Tropical Storm Erin formed off the west African coast from a tropical wave and depression. The environment that this storm will be passing through will not allow much development through Tuesday, August 20th. There are features that will be in place by the middle of next week that could change this scenario. However, unless this storm shows significant intensification potential or a track change, this will be our only mention of Tropical Storm Erin.
We are watching an upper level low pressure area [ Invest 92-L ] that will be in the far southeastern Gulf of Mexico on Friday afternoon, August 16. Current computer modeling is imprecise because there is no well-defined center of low pressure rotation, but as this upper level low gets over the warm Gulf waters, we will be watching carefully and post in a separate thread accordingly if necessary.
For up to the minute official advisories and information, please visit the NHC website in Miami:
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“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”
Tropical Storm Research Center, Gulf Shores, Alabama.
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