Invest 96L is showing signs of life. The dry air that it had been battling is all but gone. Our models suggest at a Gulf of Mexico solution, but at this time, it is too early to tell. As the system treks over the Caribbean and Hispaniola, it could deteriorate rapidly amid the mountainous regions of the islands. Alternatively, it could miss the brunt of the islands and slip into the GoM and have plenty of running room.
Having said that, this system still faces some challenges for development in terms of moderate wind shear and a packet of dry air remains just north of the system. Chances are, we will see a Low pressure system in the Gulf of Mexico by next week.
