The Future of Ike

All interests from Florida to the northern gulf coast should pay very close attention to Ike.
Ike remains our second credible threat of the season. If many of the models verify, Cuba will “work him over” but Gustav did not stir the GoM enough to prevent him from re-strengthening. Shear could become a factor.

Infared satellite imagery shows Ike as a well defined system, but he is looking a bit rougher on the latest images. On one forum, I had been asked my my personal thoughts were for a north/central Gulf of Mexico landfall might be, and at that very early stage, I suggested around 30%. If pressed at the time of this writing, I would double that number.