Fay has both, some wind shear and a High pressure system that is trying to keep her timid and push her to the east. The GFDL and GFS models toss her over the Florida Peninsula whereas the BAMS and NOGAPS bring her to our neck of the woods.
She appears to be showing a straight northerly movement which is very good for our area, and Florida in that her time over water will be significantly reduced. The key will be over the next 36 hours, to see where she takes aim. She remains a small storm, and appears to be showing signs of intensifying, but I don’t think she will become a major hurricane before landfall based on current data.
All of that can change in a matter of hours, but for now, our set up is looking better and better for us. 