Invest 92 L has formed in the central Atlantic. Virtually all of the models bring this storm to Tropical Status within the next few days, with the SHIPS model being particularly aggressive in bringing this Invest to Hurricane strength in 3 days. The GFL is forecasting a tropical storm in that 72 hour window.
Shear and overall conditions are favorable for development, and the Lesser Antilles should experience tropical storm conditions within the next several days. The forecasted track could place this storm in or near the Gulf of Mexico, making it the first real contender for our area this season.
Elsewhere, another wave is expected to form/move off the coast of Africa, and could be one to watch as well.
For the Gulf Shores/Orange Beach area, this is the “meat” of the season, and the next seven to ten days should prove to be interesting. As always, these potential systems are far to weak and too far away to make any guesses about how or where they will end up, however, for the next couple of months, our area could find itself “under the gun” a time or two.