This will be a short entry, as we are essentially in a holding pattern. Ernesto is battling with some shear but should emerge into the gulf this weekend.
Rapid intensification is entirely possible once it reaches the central GoM, and the models are still slinging it everywhere from right here to Mexico to Florida.
Once the system, or what is left of it, emerges from the Caribbean, we will get a much better idea of it’s path.
For now, I feel we are looking from Texas to our neck of the woods, but this can change and probably will.
Just wanted to pop in for a moment to remind all Acral’s viewers to be vigilent regarding Ernesto. Some very early computer modeling is showing this to be a Cat 3 by the middle of next week. While it is way too early to predict a track for late next week – even for the computers – this storm could be a major event along the Gulf Coast. Be safe and it is never too early to get your hurricane PREPAREDNESS equipment and procedures in order. Watch for Acral’s postings and updates at AL.com and in this blog.
Pastor Gary –
“THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory.”